DALLAS — The Atlantic Hurricane Season was off to a strong start.
The season runs from June 1 through November. Three named storms have already come and gone. Most notable was Hurricane Beryl, which broke records as the earliest Category 4 and Category 5 storm. It was also the strongest hurricane on record in the Atlantic Basin during June and July.
Now, we're turning our attention to a new possible development in the Atlantic.
Here's the full forecast:
What we are watching now
A tropical wave is producing showers in the Atlantic over 100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This area is not showing much development right now due to some drier air in the area. The environment will likely become better suited for tropical activity towards the end of the week. A combination of warm sea surface temperatures east of the Antilles, low wind shear and added moisture moving in will bring a higher chance for tropical cyclone development. As of now, the National Hurricane Center has a medium chance of development by the end of the week. We could see a tropical depression near the Greater Antilles late week.
As of now, one model does show an area of low pressure moving over the Caribbean before moving towards Florida. Texas is not expecting an impact.
Be sure to keep checking in for updates on this forecast in the days to come.
The rest of the 2024 hurricane season
Even with the quiet weeks following Beryl, the Atlantic Hurricane season is still expected to be active. The last few weeks have seen consistent Saharan Dust crossing the Atlantic minimizing tropical activity.
The latest NOAA forecast calls for La Niña conditions to continue during the peak of the Atlantic Hurricane season which is generally between August through October. The peak is around September 10. La Niña is associated with an active Atlantic hurricane season due to a decrease in vertical wind shear.
The latest NOAA Hurricane season forecast shows an active one. This does include the three named storms we have already seen this season - Alberto, Beryl, and Chris.
Here is the list of the 2024 Atlantic hurricane or tropical storm names.
Keep in mind, data is gathered every day and this tends to change the forecast. Be sure to stick with the WFAA Weather team for the latest.