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Hurricane Beryl tracker: Will the storm impact Texas? Here's what the latest models say

Hurricane Beryl broke records as a major hurricane moving through the Caribbean. What should Texans be paying attention to?

DALLAS — Hurricane Beryl is already making history. 

Here are the records so far:

  • Earliest Category 5 hurricane in a calendar year (on record)
  • Strongest hurricane in June in the Atlantic Basin (on record)
  • Strongest hurricane in July in the Atlantic Basin (on record)
  • The first major hurricane east of the Antilles in June 
  • Tropical storm to a major hurricane in 42 hrs. (has only happened 6 other times)

So where does the storm go from here? And will it have any impacts on Texas as it enters the Gulf of Mexico? Here's the latest forecast and radar:

Hurricane Beryl live radar and tracker

Current status 

As of 7 a.m, Thursday, Beryl is still a Category 3 hurricane. The center of the storm is west of Jamaica and moving south of the Cayman Islands.

Credit: WFAA
Credit: WFAA

Where did Beryl make landfall?

It made landfall on Carriacou Island (Grenada) Monday morning as a Category 4 hurricane with 150 mph wind. 

While the storm tracked very close to Jamaica, the center of the storm did not cross over the island, so it technically did not make landfall in Jamaica.

Hurricane Beryl's current forecast track 

The current forecast track for Beryl has it moving through the warm Caribbean waters through this week. Hurricane Warnings are active in Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, and the Yucatan for wind, rain, and storm surge. 

Beryl will weaken some as it moves towards the Yucatan Peninsula, but still likely staying a decently strong hurricane. It makes it to the Peninsula late Thursday into early Friday. This will impact areas like Tulum to Cozumel to Cancun on Thursday into Friday.  The current forecast track then has it moving into the southwestern Gulf as a Tropical Storm, but strengthening to a Category 1 hurricane over the weekend. As of now, the forecast shows landfall just south of South Texas along the Mexican coastline Sunday night into Monday. 

Credit: WFAA
Credit: WFAA

Will Hurricane Beryl impact Texas?

As of now, Beryl will enter the Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Exactly where it heads after that is still uncertain, but a landfall from the northern coast of Mexico to South Texas is in play.

But what does look fairly certain is the storm will NOT be nearly as strong at that point as it has been in the Caribbean. However, it still could be a strong tropical storm or hurricane.

The ridge of high pressure that is bringing on the heat and rain-free days for Texas as well as a trough of low pressure that will bring rain chances and cooler temps to Texas this weekend will influence the eventual track of Beryl. We most likely won't have a good idea of where it will make landfall in Mexico or Texas until the storm enters the Gulf this weekend.

Either way, it does look like it'll bring rain to southern Texas. As of now, it looks like three to five inches will be possible. Again, a lot can change between now and early next week. 

Hurricane Beryl spaghetti models

Each line represents a different model. Most are in agreement on impact for the Yucatan Peninsula, but differ once it moves into the Gulf. 

Credit: WFAA

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